« July 2008 | Main | September 2008 »

August 31, 2008

When Lenders Get Greedy

Why don't I follow my own advice?  Last summer, I said, in this post:

I often advise new borrowers to get a signed mortgage loan commitment, showing the expiration date of the lock.  That "commitment" now has to be analyzed for the financial solvency of the funding/purchasing lender.  I'll be practicing a strategy of dual submissions until this liquidity crunch clears.

Diane Cipa, a title agent, said, in a comment:

Please don't. It's going to be hard enough for responsible secondary market managers to feel their way through these rough waters without mortgage brokers double or triple locking product.

A more prudent position might be to educate borrowers so that they take some of the risk and understand that the lock is tied to a particular mortgage banker and not you as mortgage broker.

Frankly the lack of liquidity will encourage mortgage bankers to consider shutting off wholesale/correspondent divisions in favor of supporting their retail operations. If mortgage brokers en masses decide to start doing multiple submissions and locks, the shut off may come sooner rather than later. Retail originators can't do multiple locks or submissions and so are a more predictable or reliable source of pipeline data.

Diane is a smart lady.  The problem is that she doesn't live with the pack of thieves that populate my industry; I do.  I'm a retail loan originator for a mortgage banking and brokerage firm.  Since the liquidity crunch, I've taken to broking loans exclusively so that I have the ability to submit a file to competing lenders.  After all, my REALTOR partners rely upon me to execute good loan terms that fund for their buyers.  About 3-4 months ago, I disbanded the practice of double submissions for the very reasons that Diane illustrates; I didn't think it was fair to the wholesale mortgage bankers funding my loans.  Boy was THAT a dumb idea.

REALTORS, pay very close attention to what I'm about to tell you.

First, some background about mortgage banking:

Mortgage bankers fund loans and sell them off to investors.  Forget portfolio lending; it's all but dead.  Even Bank of America, Wachovia, and Wells Fargo sell their loans.  They may service them but they often "pre-sell" loans, to a specific investor, before it funds.  They agree to a 6.5% rate, then pre-sell that loan at 101% of the loan value, fund it, and fulfill the loan sale- that's how banks and mortgage lenders make money.

Smaller lenders (who are kicking ass in this market) are referred to as correspondent lenders.  They have a stable of lenders who buy funded loans from them.  Mortgage brokers use these smaller mortgage bankers because of superior pricing and better service.  They do a great job...UNTIL...

...they decide to get greedy.

I had a loan closing that met the "perfect storm" for stupid mortgage banker tricks.  It was scheduled to fund on August 27.  I held the lock off until August 15 (I thought rates might improve).  My borrower had to sign before August 22, so I was out of time.  I locked the loan, securing a great rate for the borrower, and ordered loan documents.  On August 18, 2008, the mortgage-backed securities market started a 12 day rally.  MBS prices skyrocketed some 1% in a few days. That means that the mortgage lender, who pre-sold the $500,000 loan to Bank A, at $505,000, could now sell the same loan to Bank B, for $510,000.  My customer was stuck- he had to sign in seven days.  The loan was already approved so it should not have been an issue.

Why did I start getting "re-conditioned" after the loan documents were drawn?  My loan already had "final approval status"; why ask for more documentation?

Greed- the answer was greed.  The mortgage lender decided to harvest that market gain by re-selling the loan at a higher price.  The new investor required a pre-approval before the sale.  My funding was delayed until August 29, even though the borrower had satisfied the "re-conditions".  Why?  The lender was waiting for those conditions to be signed off by the new investor.

What recourse did I have?  Absolutely none.  I had disbanded the practice of "double-submissions" because I had a "cherry" borrower; I didn't want to "confuse the market" as Diane Cipa suggested the practice of double submissions might do.

MORAL:  Originators should serve our borrowers' best interests first.  Even the best borrower isn't immune to the crap lenders pull, especially when there's more money to be made off of them.

I KNOW better.  Imagine if you were dealing with a loan hack that didn't; that loan still might not be funded today.  Never again.

Feudalism In America: Drilling Down On The Oil Problem

Hurricane Gustav and the decision to pick Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as the Republican VP candidate have thrust the problem of high oil prices into daily Starbucks' conversations.  The prices at the pump have tripled in the last five years and Americans are fed up with the stalemate caused by social liberals.  I suggested that a barrel of oil will drop to double-digits by 2009 and the market is behaving the way I expected.  While $99/barrel of oil will be a relief, it's still double the price of its fundamental value- that's not good.

Lbc_oil_island The problem isn't about finding the oil; we know where it is.
  We have the money, the knowledge, and now, the motivation, to pump the dead dinosaurs out of the ground and into our tanks; we simply need to do it.

Californians are blocking offshore drilling in the Golden State
- that simply must stop.  The main argument highlights the blight oil rigs cause on our coastline.  While nobody likes the sight of an oil rig on their beach, creative minds find ways to camouflage the rigs.  Island Grissom, a man-made drilling island, off the coast of Long Beach, uses interesting buildings and a plethora of palm trees tp disguise the ugly equipment.  Laurie Manny pointed out Island Grisson to me some months ago as we stood on the shore.  At first glance, the island appeared to be some sort of "government installation".  Palm trees dotted the landscape with 2-3 low-rise buildings.  When Laurie explained its purpose, I was flabbergasted.  As you can see from the picture, a little imagination can make the functional palatable.

Federal government officials block drilling in the ANWR circle from fear that we'll disrupt the ecological balance.  The thought that the US Government wouldn't allow Alaskans to harvest the minerals under their state appalls me.  Governor Sarah Palin's letter to Senator Harry Reid, pleading for a policy that promotes domestic energy independence, went largely unanswered.  She makes a compelling argument in this letter.  I'll paraphrase it for you:

We need more energy.  Energy producing countries are gaining both power and prestige in the world.  While most of these countries are monarchies, we run the risk of a reversion to the "feudal system" by ceding power to those monarchies.  I might argue that it is our responsibility, as free men and women, to compete in the natural resources game, if for no other reason than to preserve and advance the social experiment, that democracy is.

Or not. We can continue defeatist rhetoric and subordinate the interests of our nation to the rising feudal lords.  I can't stomach it.  Chalk it up to my heritage but visions of Crowell's soldiers raiding Western Ireland, for its natural resources, invade my dreams.  As foreign ownership of American assets increases, bribery and corruption will become the modern-day swords.  Assimilation and respect-begging become paper shields against those swords.

There will be oil rigs, dotting the landscape of Alaska and California
, in 2040.  We can responsibly drill and control those assets today or stick our heads in the sand and cede those assets to the energy-lords tomorrow.

August 28, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: August 29, 2008

Weird things are happening in the mortgage-backed securities market.  Strong buying, in the 30 year-fixed rate loans, has dropped rates .25% since my last report,  The ARM rates, however, have RISEN.  A weird phenomenon, indeed.  I'm only quoting two loan programs (the others make no sense): 

Mortgage rates in San Diego for August 29, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

5/1 ARM              5.750%

30 Yr Fixed          6.125%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

Short-term, this is about as good as it gets.  I think we'll see some higher rates, in the next 7-10 days, with rates coming back down to this level by the end of September.  I'm befuddled for the 3 month trend so I'll stay neutral.

SAN DIEGO MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Higher 

Next 30 days:     Neutral

Next 3 months:  Lower? (I'm stumped)

Mortgage Basics For Veterans

I am a guest author at the HomeGain Blog. Here's a snippet of an article I wrote, instructing their REALTOR customers about VA Home Loans:

Are you asking your buyers if they’re veterans of the U.S. Armed Forces? There are 25 million veterans in the U.S. today, 2 million of which are women. While more than two-thirds of them are over 40, a substantial number could benefit from the VA Home Loan Program.

The VA Home Loan Program is the only national 100% financing loan program. Veterans can purchase a home with no down payment and the seller can contribute up to 4% of the sales price for their non-recurring closing costs and impounds.

Often referred to as the VA No-No program, combining the max sellers’ closing cost contribution with a VA home loan affords buyers the chance to “get into a home”, for no money, at a below market rate.

Read the full article on HomeGain Blog

August 26, 2008

San Diego Teachers Home Loan

San Diego County teachers can buy a home, with a down payment requirement as little as 3%, using a little known loan program offered by their State retirement plan.  The San Diego Teachers Home Loan is less expensive than the traditional FHA mortgage option because it avoids mortgage insurance and combines a first and second mortgage.  Rates are competitive and loan amounts go as high as $650,000.

The beauty of this home loan program lies in the second mortgage.  The first mortgage is an 80% loan, made by participating lenders.  The second mortgage is a 17% mortgage, made directly by the State retirement fund, at the same rate as the first mortgage.  Payments on the second mortgage can be deferred up to five years, allowing for newer teachers to "grow into their payment" as their income escalates through tenure.   

Here is a comparison of the San Diego Teachers Loan to traditional FHA financing, for a $400,000 purchase price:

Down payment= $12,000

FHA mortgage payment at 6.375%, with upfront mortgage insurance premium of 1.5%, and monthly mortgage insurance premium of .55%:

Principal and Interest:                  $2,458
Monthly Insurance Premium:              150
Taxes:                                             416
Hazard Insurance:                              75

TOTAL FHA PAYMENT:                $3,099

San Diego Teachers Loan Program payment, at 6.625%, for first and second mortgage:

Principal and Interest (1st):          $2,048
Principal and Interest (2nd):              435
Taxes:                                             416
Hazard Insurance:                              75

TOTAL TEACHERS LOAN PMT:      $2,974

While the interest rate is higher on the San Diego Teachers Loan Program, the avoidance of mortgage insurance affords a monthly mortgage payment that is over $100/month less.  The option of deferring the second mortgage payment can help teachers own a home while "deferring" the second mortgage payment some five years.  There is no such thing as a free lunch, however.  Deferring that second mortgage payment will add some $30,000 to the mortgage balance, by 2013.

Interest deferral should be used only with the belief that San Diego County real estate values will be some 10% higher, in 2013, than they are today.  Recent news reports might suggest that possibility exists.

FHA ARMs More Attractive Than FHA Fixed Rate Loans

Did you know you could get an adjustable rate mortgage through the FHA-insured loan program?  ARMs are a dirty word in the media today.  As millions of homeowners have their ARM rates adjusted, the press peddles fear, causing new home buyers to overpay on the FHA home loans.

Let's look at my favorite, the FHA JUMBO 5-year ARM at 5.625% versus the FHA JUMBO 30 Year fixed rate mortgage at 6.375%.  That's a .75% difference in rate and for a JUMBO loan, that adds up to some substantial savings!  On a $600,000 mortgage, the interest savings, over the five year period, is over $20,000; that's the price of a low mileage, gently-used BMW.

The risk of a five year ARM is the reset.  If you funded a FHA JUMBO 5-year ARM today, the rate (and payment) would adjust in January, 2014.  The risk, however, is nowhere near the reset risk of yesterday's Alt-A and sub-prime home loans.  Rate adjustments are based on two factors:  index and margin.  FHA loans can be offered with a LIBOR or Treasury Index and have margins that range from 2.25% to 2.75%.  Peter G. Miller, syndicated columnist, believes the lowest margin may be the best choice:

While indexes move up and down, you at least want to compare the LIBOR and Treasury measures. If the LIBOR margin is within .25 to .50 of the Treasury index, then either index might be attractive. But if the margin gap is more than .25 to .50, then you might favor the Treasury index, if the margin is less than .25 to .50 then the LIBOR might be a better choice.

The view here is that a lower margin is best because the margin is fixed for the life of the loan. That said, who knows how indexes will move in the future?

The other risk for a rate adjustment is the "cap".  Simply put, a "rate cap" is the maximum allowable adjustment, up or down, for the rate (and payment) when the five year period is up.  FHA loans have two interest rate cap structures:  a 1/5 for 3-year ARM periods or a 2/6 for longer periods.
 

In our example, if we obtained a 5/1 FHA JUMBO ARM at 5.625%, the rate could adjust as high as 7.625%, in 2014.  It could adjust as high as 11.625%, if interest rates went straight up for eight years (and never came down).  If that were to happen, bank savings' rates would skyrocket from today's 3% to over 9%.  There IS a silver lining amidst any storm cloud.

FHA loans are easy to refinance.  The FHA streamlined refinance program allows for a homeowner to refinance her FHA loan with no income or asset documentation.  This common-sense approach grants a FHA loan approval if the homeowner can demonstrate that her last twelve mortgage payments were timely.  It can even be offered without an appraisal.

In California, the average hold time for a home is 5-7 years.  This means that the average Californian will most likely sell his home during that period.  If you're a first-time homebuyer, chances are that you're leaving a LOT of money on the table by insisting on a FHA JUMBO 30 year loan rather than a 5-year ARM.  Do your homework and compare costs.

August 15, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: August 15, 2008

Mortgage rates were stable this week.  ARM rates went up and the fixed rate mortgage rates are the same as they were Monday.  I mentioned that traders felt "stuck in the middle" of conflicting data.  Core inflation is rising but oil prices are falling like a rock off a cliff.  I'm as confused as the mortgage bond traders so I'm taking this opportunity to lock rates for loans closing within 30 days.

READ: Why Oil Prices Will Drop BELOW $100/ Barrel in 2009

Why?  I think the rising ARM rates suggest that traders believe, in their hearts, that the Fed will tighten before Thanksgiving.  I'm more about mitigating risk rather than pouncing on opportunity so when I'm confused, I lock mortgage rates.  Maybe the descent in oil prices will continue and mortgage rates decline further but "I ain't seeing it" from my ivory tower.

Mortgage rates in San Diego for August 11, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

3/1 ARM              5.750%

5/1 ARM              5.750%

7/1 ARM              6.000%

10/1 ARM            6.250%

30 Yr Fixed          6.375%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

SAN DIEGO MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Neutral 

Next 30 days:     Neutral

Next 3 months:   Neutral

August 12, 2008

Three C's of Lending Form

Download 3cfro_realtors.doc

Click the link to download the "pre-qualification form" that Realtors can use.

This instructional podcast can walk you through the form:

Realtors Can Pre-Qualify Buyers If A Lender Isn’t Handy      

August 11, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: August 11, 2008

Mortgage rates in San Diego for August 11, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

3/1 ARM              5.500%

5/1 ARM              5.750%

7/1 ARM              5.875%

10/1 ARM            6.250%

30 Yr Fixed          6.375%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

SAN DIEGO MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Slightly Higher

Next 30 days:     Neutral

Next 3 months:   Neutral

Remember the song "Stuck in the Middle With You" by Stealer's Wheel?  It was background music for a particularly gruesome scene in the Quentin Tarantino movie, Reservoir Dogs

Well, I don't know why I came here tonight
I got a feelin' that something ain't right
I'm so scared in case I fall off my chair
And I'm wonderin' how I'll get down those stairs
Clowns to left of me, jokers to the right
Here am I stuck in the middle with you

Wall Street bond traders are singing that tune and it's bouncing mortgage rates all over the place.  They're scared because they feel that "somethin' ain't right" with the underlying loans held by Fannie and Freddie.  Still, the US Treasury Secretary has pretty much guaranteed that the government will back Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should the dung hit the blades.

While the treasury securities market has been somewhat stable these past few weeks, mortgage-backed securities are bouncing all over.  Some days ,they act like treasuries and the spread narrows.  Other days, they act like junk bonds and the spread widens.  If you listened to my "dog on a leash" analogy, imagine a rabid animal running away from a scared owner one day and a docile pet running and cuddling with him the next.

Like the song, says, we're "stuck in the middle" which means, in my mind, we'll see mortgage rates rise a bit, to the 6.5% level, then drop to the 6.0% level.  We still haven't seen the full effect of the Russian invasion to Georgia.  The American response will be much more than a Bush and Putin exchange at the Olympics.  Georgia is a SERIOUS U.S. ally with a major oil pipeline running through it.  The Russian attack was clearly unprovoked and part of a concerted effort to weaken the US dispute with Iran.

We're locking loans that are closing within 10 days with an eye towards locking late August closings some time next week (when mortgage rates come back down).

August 01, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: August 1, 2008

Mortgage rates in San Diego for August 1, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

3/1 ARM              5.500%

5/1 ARM              5.625%

7/1 ARM              6.125%

10/1 ARM            6.250%

30 Yr Fixed          6.250%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

SAN DIEGO MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Slightly Lower

Next 30 days:     Slightly Lower

Next 3 months:   Neutral